Conditions For Prediction

In most cases, predicting the future is impossible. However, there are certain criteria and areas of reduced dynamics where it can be predicted up to a certain time horizon. After this horizon, the dynamics exponentially make it harder to predict an outcome to a point of equivalence to infinitely impossible. Sometimes longer-term windows open up, but they’re open so briefly it’s almost impossible to catch them.

In college and industry, differential equations was by far my best class. It was the only class where I never took notes or did homework assignments and only learned by means of my professor’s barely discernable spoken English. I didn’t need anything else. I got 100%’s on almost all my exams, and a 4.0 in the class, while my friends were completely baffled after struggling to keep up even with hours of study and exercise. I just got it. It’s purpose, modeling change, was so intuitive and natural for me.

In these writings about predictions, I will attempt to shed light on my prodigious change-modeling abilities and hope readers become better at thinking about time, prediction horizon, identity abstractions, and complex-system simulations.

Concepts

Time is the dimension from which meaning is derived. A causal-metric space for information interpolation. A space which is stretched in different ways to allow for composition of forms into new forms. It is the canvas of Creation itself.

- TM Bird